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Post by russ4uconn on Mar 25, 2024 12:33:16 GMT
#6 -vs- #3 J.T.T.D.B.U. IT'S GAME DAY!!!
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Post by ismhuskyfan on Mar 25, 2024 15:09:09 GMT
All aboard for Portland. Bring your A game and the rest will take care of itself. Now all together; let’s get ready to rumbbbbbbbbbbbbbblllllllllllllllllleeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!!!!!!!
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Post by storygordon on Mar 25, 2024 15:28:16 GMT
Thanks, Russ, You're killing the brackets. Here we go one more once...
Massey has it #2 UConn (how I hope they are correct) beating #32 'Cuse 80-61 @ 92%
I'm hoping The Five will be on fire, especially defensively, avoiding foul trouble with Paige being allowed to play without being mugged.
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Post by Native One on Mar 25, 2024 15:36:54 GMT
russ4uconn Thanks for getting us started!! It's game day!! My DVR is set to record, and I will be watching and cheering for the Huskies. I am in count down mode. Counting down the seconds, minutes and hours.
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Post by momandapplepie on Mar 25, 2024 17:38:31 GMT
This ESPN preview (link below) exposed our previous failures to contain elite guards in our losses this year. Accordingly, Syracuse's Dyaisha Fair could pose a problem for us today. Fair is a baller who shows up for big games against ranked opponents. She scored 25 and 27 against Notre Dame, 28 and 29 vs Louisville, 26 vs NC State, 29 vs Iowa State, and 22 vs Sweet 16 Duke. At 5'5", she is shorter than either 6'0" Paige or 5'11" Nika. I think that makes her more elusive to guard. She is just so quick and wiry. Foul trouble from Nika is a huge concern for me going into this game. If she gets beat, she should just let her player go and trust Aaliyah to have her back defensively. Most of Syracuse's offense comes from their backcourt. I think Aaliyah can slough off her players a little to guard against penetration...hopefully without getting into foul trouble herself! All I want is to advance to the Sweet 16 without any more injuries. Of course, a healthy winning margin is always welcome too! www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/preview/_/gameId/401637585
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Post by momandapplepie on Mar 26, 2024 2:08:54 GMT
Whew...I got my wish. We advance with no more injuries. But jeez...was it really necessary to introduce that much drama at the end?! HUGE trey by KK with 29 seconds left. And for most of the game, it seemed like Ash was the only one who could hit a 3 for us, especially in the first half. They are no longer Freshmen! They have a whole season of experience on the court and watching three savvy veterans show them the UConn way...not to mention the GOAT coaching them!
Speaking of Freshmen, I wonder why Q did not see any action today. I know we never had the game put away but we did have a double digit lead for prolonged periods where I thought she could get some PT. She is tied with KK at .354 from the arc for the season. I thought she proved herself enough during the regular season coming in and nailing threes to get some court time in the tourney. Curious.
I'd also like to address Massey's 80-61 pregame prediction. This is the NCAA tournament. Almost all of the seniors playing know this is their last go round with their team. When they lose, they will never be in the limelight again. Most of them will never make a living playing pro ball. The desperation and emotion those circumstances generate, if it is harnessed, can generate enough adrenaline to enable players to perform above their normal level. I don't know that Massey's modeling has a way of factoring that into their algorithm. That is why I think this game was closer than what they predicted. Dyaisha Fair has a horrible first half scoring only 2 points, largely due to Nika's excellent defense too. Facing the possibility of only having 20 more minutes in her college career, she explodes for 18 in the second half in a desperate effort to prevent that. How do you input emotion into a mathematical equation? Massey certainly failed at that task with a 19 point prediction ending up being an 8 point win, which was only 3 with 30 seconds to go before KK's heroic trey.
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Post by storygordon on Mar 26, 2024 2:18:46 GMT
momandapplepie. Good point on Massey's prediction. Stat models are good on the long haul, not in single events, especially during extraordinary periods like this; however, if you look at their predicted winners in today's sixteen games there was only two upsets -- Colgate over Providence and the Zags over Utah -- which may be better than most brackets. (edited) masseyratings.com/cbw/ncaa-d1/games
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Post by ismhuskyfan on Mar 26, 2024 2:54:29 GMT
If AE plays to her skills this game would not have been close. Moving forward Edwards will need to compliment what Buckets is producing. The freshman are doing their part. Come on Huskies, play beyond your means!!
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Post by momandapplepie on Mar 26, 2024 17:27:13 GMT
momandapplepie. Good point on Massey's prediction. Stat models are good on the long haul, not in single events, especially during extraordinary periods like this; however, if you look at their predicted winners in today's sixteen games there was only two upsets -- Colgate over Providence and the Zags over Utah -- which may be better than most brackets. (edited) masseyratings.com/cbw/ncaa-d1/gamesMassey seeks to not only identify who will win but it projects a specific score and winning margin too. I don't think the concept of humans playing with emotion above their normal ability level is significant enough to change their predicted outcome regarding win or lose. But I do think that human emotion factor definitely confuses their precise score projections. According to ESPN, the current betting line on UConn-Duke is the Huskies by 8.5. As we get closer to the game, I'm going to try to remember to check what the game time line is so we can compare it with what you post Massey's prediction to be. I'm curious to see how the two numbers will compare.
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Post by storygordon on Mar 26, 2024 17:39:33 GMT
momandapplepie. Good point on Massey's prediction. Stat models are good on the long haul, not in single events, especially during extraordinary periods like this; however, if you look at their predicted winners in today's sixteen games there was only two upsets -- Colgate over Providence and the Zags over Utah -- which may be better than most brackets. (edited) masseyratings.com/cbw/ncaa-d1/gamesMassey seeks to not only identify who will win but it projects a specific score and winning margin too. I don't think the concept of humans playing with emotion above their normal ability level is significant enough to change their predicted outcome regarding win or lose. But I do think that human emotion factor definitely confuses their precise score projections. According to ESPN, the current betting line on UConn-Duke is the Huskies by 8.5. As we get closer to the game, I'm going to try to remember to check what the game time line is so we can compare it with what you post Massey's prediction to be. I'm curious to see how the two numbers will compare. True to a point. The Massey score projection is a statistical average based on historical data. The two scores are the means of a distribution computed through an analysis of their performance variences as represented by the Pwin percentages which indicate the chance of the projection being correct. It's strictly a statistical assessment based on data collected and processed by a model based on assumptions. And yes, it is not to be seen as an accurate measurement, only an approximation.
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Post by momandapplepie on Mar 26, 2024 17:41:09 GMT
If AE plays to her skills this game would not have been close. Moving forward Edwards will need to compliment what Buckets is producing. The freshman are doing their part. Come on Huskies, play beyond your means!! Syracuse beat the snot out of Aaliyah yesterday. She was knocked to the floor numerous times. Both of Syracuse's forwards ended the game with 4 fouls each from beating up on our girl all game long. Yet Aaliyah still delivered a double-double with 11 points on 4/8 shooting, a team-leading 11 boards, 3 assists, 2 blocks, and a steal while playing an exhausting 39 minutes...all coming barely over two weeks from breaking her nose "badly" as Geno described. I have no issues at all with the warrior-like performance Aaliyah Edwards gave us yesterday. I acknowledge her 5 TOs but maybe that is because she touches the ball so often in our offense. I also note that Paige had 4 TOs herself. However, I think both players' overall contributions to the win clearly make up for those TO numbers.
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Marco
Husky4ever
Posts: 2,587
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Post by Marco on Mar 26, 2024 20:42:16 GMT
Syracuse got 11 more shots from the floor. I don't understand how. Rebounding and turnovers and steals all came out exactly even in total. And free throws are pretty much the same.
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Marco
Husky4ever
Posts: 2,587
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Post by Marco on Mar 26, 2024 22:05:35 GMT
Syracuse got 11 more shots from the floor. I don't understand how. Rebounding and turnovers and steals all came out exactly even in total. And free throws are pretty much the same.
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Marco
Husky4ever
Posts: 2,587
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Post by Marco on Mar 26, 2024 22:05:53 GMT
Edwards’ impact While Edwards had a quiet day for her standards on offense with just 11 points — her fewest since Nov. 25 — on 4-8 shooting, she made up for it in other areas with 11 rebounds, two blocks and steal while limiting Syracuse to just 10 points in the paint. “Aaliyah didn't have a particularly great game offensively, but down the stretch she got every rebound and defensively she guarded the rim,” Auriemma said. Most of her impact didn’t show up on the stat sheet either. Edwards answered Syracuse’s physicality with her own and battled down low from start to finish. “I didn't want my last game in Gampel to be an L,” Edwards said. Now that UConn is through to the Sweet Sixteen, she’ll have a chance to make her own history. Edwards is up to 999 career rebounds, so she’ll become the ninth Husky ever to reach 1,000 boards when she grabs her first on Saturday vs. Duke.
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Post by jerryangel on Mar 26, 2024 23:16:11 GMT
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